Journal of Applied Statistics · 2026

Bayesian Hierarchical Time-Varying Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model: Applications in the Short-Term Association between Ambient Temperature and Daily Confirmed Cases of COVID-19

Dongu Han, Kiljae Lee, Yeonseung Chung, Genya Kobayashi, and Taeryon Choi

Overview

This work develops a Bayesian hierarchical time-varying distributed lag nonlinear model and applies it to the association between ambient temperature and daily confirmed COVID-19 cases.

Citation

Han, D., Lee, K., Chung, Y., Kobayashi, G., and Choi, T. (2026). "Bayesian Hierarchical Time-Varying Distributed Lag Nonlinear Model: Applications in the Short-Term Association between Ambient Temperature and Daily Confirmed Cases of COVID-19." Journal of Applied Statistics, 53(10), 1916–1942.

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